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Tuesday, August 3, 2010

Tuesday 8/3/10 Update

CHANGED STOP TO STRAIGHT STOP LOSS @ 1115.00 - NO STOP & REVERSE

The Trend/Osc system is designed to ride trends, not for day trading.  As such, it needs to somehow distinguish between retracements in an ongoing trend and changes in direction that establish a new trend.  My general rule of thumb is that any signal given more than 48 hours or at a distance exceeding 2 ATR's from the start of a trend should be treated as a change in trend and should therefore be traded, if it doesn't meet one of these parameters the signal should be ignored.  Last night the Trend/Osc generated a sell signal @ 11 PM (CST) which was less than 48 hours from the start of the trend at last Friday's lows, so the price activity is considered a retracement.  However, given the poor entry execution on the long ES's from yesterday I decided to move the stop up to the entry point @ 1115.00 without a reversal order, i.e. it's a straight stop rather than a stop & reverse.  If stopped out I will rely on the 30 minute V Stoch to possibly re-enter on the long side of the market.
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