Since the Major W1 top of Feb 20 the ES appears to have put in a Minor Wave "a" and "b" leg of the correction, with the "b" leg taking the shape of a triangle in the ES terminating on Mar 8.
ES hourly
5 waves can be counted as complete from the end of the triangle on Mar 8 into the the low last Friday. It is thus possible to label that low as the end of Minor Wave "c" and declare the correction to be over. However, if the long term count presented below is right, the ES is correcting against an almost eight month rally and has only retraced around 20% of that move. So although it's certainly possible that prices will start a new rally sequence from here, it's not all that probable. If we do resume the selling, likely targets are the .382 and .500 retrace levels at ES 1213 and ES 1173 respectively. ES 1173 has a high probability as it marks the area of prior Intermediate and Minor Wave 4 lows.
ES daily
