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Saturday, March 25, 2017

Saturday, 3/25/17 update

The selling since the 1st of the month needs to find a bottom soon or we could be looking at a higher degree correction than the current EW count indicates.  The current preferred IT view has the ES/SPX in Minute W4 of a Minor W3 rally that commenced on election day in November:

Alternate #1 - still working out Minor W3

However, it is possible to count the move off the Nov 9 low as complete at the Mar 1 high - and that would mean that the Mar 1 high is the Minor W3 top and we are in Minor W4 of an impulse that started at the lows of last June: 

Alternate #2 - Minor W3 top is in, working out Minor W4


For perspective it should be noted that Minor W2 of the move lasted 3 months and spanned a drop in the ES of roughly 160 points.

 NOTE: dotted lines show potential EW structures and are not necessarily accurate price/time forecasts
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