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Thursday, July 29, 2010

Thursday 7/29/10 wrap up

Door #2 appears to be the winner (see yesterday's post) but the pattern from Tuesday's highs is not yet clearly impulsive so more info is necessary to be certain.

Sell signal on the trend/osc system today at 11 AM (CST) so the long ES position from 1075.50 was sold at 1091.50. Like earlier this month a little frustrated with the gain, could have been a lot better.  But a 16 point profit is still $800 to the good per contract and a damn sight better than a loss.  Market was pretty oversold when the sell was generated so waited on establishing a short position until the 30 minute V Stoch had bottomed and was approaching overbought territory.  Short ES position subsequently established at ES 1097.00 with a stop and reverse at 1115.00.  Probably should have waited to sell long position at that point as well.

Vindicator Buy/Sell lines are not giving a clear signal, although the Buy line did cross back above the Sell line in the afternoon, which casts some doubt on the bear case.  Meanwhile, the 30 Minute V Stoch topped in overbought territory and looked close to rolling over later in the day, which supports the bear case.
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