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Thursday, March 4, 2010

Upward drift

Checked on market, decided to cover short ES somewhere between 1124 & 1122 ahead of tomorrow's unemployment report and reassess after.   9:45 PM

Got stopped out of long overnight, also had sell signal.  Established shorts @ ES 1119 during the day today.  Market moved up today, but pattern is not clearly impulsive.  Also, volume has declined over the last 3 days and is pretty low.  Would seem to confirm that we are in fact building a top and should turn down.  Tomorrow is monthly unemployment report @ 8:30 am (EST) which surely accounts for part of volume deficit.  That's a wild card.  From a wave count standpoint we could break either way, I won't go through the details of the alternates in the chart below, but bearish (preferred) count is in red and alternate bullish count is in green.  From a trading standpoint, will tighten stop down to 1125.50.
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