Still long ES from yesterday afternoon, turning into a pretty nice trade.
The diagonal ending "C" wave mentioned Tuesday is certainly off the table (not just off, but blown off!!). More likely scenario below. Longer term view.
The rally up off the Oct 4 lows is possibly close to a conclusion with a possible ending diagonal for wave C of a zig-zag type structure. If so, the 4th wave of that diagonal is probably close to done with a final 5th wave to follow. After that, look out below.
This is whipsaw hell right now so not acting on any trade signals and staying in cash for the time being. Looks more and more like the triangle possibility is in play in the SPX/ES.
Buy signal on SPX/Vindicator as expected, covered short ES positions but am holding off on going long for now. Looks like a 5 wave pattern up from the Oct 4 low at 1068 is finishing up, also with a 13 - 14% rally in 9 trading days a more significant correction than that of Wed - Thur would seem to be in order. Finally, the 50% retrace of the early May thru Oct 4 sell off is in the 1220 area, and we're pretty much there.
Sell signal from this morning is looking iffy at this point, could be a whipsaw. The Vindicator Buy/Sell is close to crossing back over to a buy as can be seen in the chart. Got to go with it if it happens.
Divergence on the Vindicator buy line against this morning's highs. Also, pretty strong run up over the last few days and coming into the weekend, so we could see a profit taking correction at the very least.
Pretty strong rally in equities in the last hour today. Five waves down can be counted since the mid-summer highs, with the 5th wave being an ending diagonal that started at the interim high of Aug 31. If this is accurate then we should see a significant correction to the bear trend of the last three months.
CYCLE - Green - I, II, III, IV, V - A, B, C, X PRIMARY - Red - I, II, III, IV, V - A, B, C, X MAJOR - Blue - 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 - a, b, c, x INTERMEDIATE - Purple - 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 - a, b, c, x MINOR - Red - 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 - a, b, c, x MINUTE - Green - 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 - a, b, c, x MICRO - Black - 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 - a, b, c, x NANO - Black - (1), (2), (3), (4), (5) - (a), (b), (c), (x)
Manage apple orchard & processing business full time - trade part time
Traded cattle futures professionally for family meat packing company in 1980's
Also traded stock indexes for own account
Won the US Trading Championship - Options Division in 1986 (500%+ return in 4 months)